Appendix C

C1

Results of EXSMOOTH procedure for Variable G_GAME

MODEL= NN (No trend, no seasonality)

 Initial values:       Series            Trend

                      6.29833         Not used

DFE = 52.

The 10 smallest SSE's are:      Alpha             SSE

                             1.000000         5.15074

                             .9000000         5.21386

                             .8000000         5.39723

                             .7000000         5.74537

                             .6000000         6.33694

                             .5000000         7.31174

                             .4000000         8.93263

                             .3000000        11.73296

                             .2000000        16.86131

                             .1000000        26.68069

The following new variables are being created:

  NAME        LABEL

  FIT_1       Fit for G_GAME from EXSMOOTH, MOD_3 NN A1.00

  ERR_1       Error for G_GAME from EXSMOOTH, MOD_3 NN A1.00

C2

Results of EXSMOOTH procedure for Variable G_GAME

MODEL= HOLT (Linear trend, no seasonality)

 Initial values:       Series            Trend

                      6.33237          -.02030

DFE = 51.

The 10 smallest SSE's are:      Alpha       Gamma             SSE

                             1.000000    .0000000         5.12883

                             .8000000    .2000000         5.14620

                             .9000000    .0000000         5.19085

                             .9000000    .2000000         5.19808

                             .7000000    .2000000         5.23658

                             .7000000    .4000000         5.30179

                             1.000000    .2000000         5.35765

                             .6000000    .4000000         5.37130

                             .8000000    .0000000         5.37356

                             .8000000    .4000000         5.42809

The following new variables are being created:

  NAME        LABEL

  FIT_2       Fit for G_GAME from EXSMOOTH, MOD_5 HO A1.00 G .00

  ERR_2       Error for G_GAME from EXSMOOTH, MOD_5 HO A1.00 G .00